Sunday, May 06, 2007

Bush Approval Rating Sinks but Will it Help Dems in 08?

George Bush's approval rating has sunk to 28% according to a new Newsweek Poll, and it seems to be dragging down the whole GOP. The poll also shows every Democratic candidate beating the Republicans in 2008. However, Hillary Clinton seems to be the one hope the Republicans have of winning. She does worse than any other Democratic candidate, barely edging out a Republican opponent. So why is she the leading Democratic candidate among Democrats?

"The NEWSWEEK Poll finds each of the leading Democratic contenders beating the Republican frontrunners in head-to-head matchups....

"Though the New York senator and former first lady aims to project an aura of inevitability that she will win the Democratic nomination, Obama beats the leading Republicans by larger margins than any other Democrat: besting Giuliani 50 to 43 percent, among registered voters; beating McCain 52 to 39 percent, and defeating Romney 58 percent to 29 percent.

"Like Obama, Edwards defeats the Republicans by larger margins than Clinton does: the former Democratic vice-presidential nominee outdistances Giuliani by six points, McCain by 10 and Romney by 37, the largest lead in any of the head-to-head matchups. Meanwhile, Sen. Clinton wins 49 percent to 46 percent against Giuliani, well within the poll’s margin of error; 50 to 44 against McCain; and 57 to 35 against Romney.

"Where Clinton remains the undisputed champ is among Democrats. When matched against her main rivals for the Democratic nomination, Clinton is the choice of 51 percent of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters over Obama’s 39 percent; and she defeats Edwards 57 percent to 38 percent. Obama has not substantially narrowed Clinton’s lead since the early March NEWSWEEK poll, where he trailed Clinton by 14 points. Edwards has narrowed Clinton’s lead over him though. Back in March Edwards trailed Clinton by 31 points; now her lead is down to 19 points."

Wake up Dems! We have a good chance of winning in 2008, but NOT with Hillary Clinton! Her negatives are too high among most voters, especially independents and "swing voters" and she would probably loose in the general election because of all her baggage (i.e., "hillary health care", Bill and Monica, etc.) Many Democrats I know even say THEY will not vote for her! Our best chance is a new face, like Obama or Edwards.

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